Flips and SOHO systems and future indictors

James J. Kay

© COPYRIGHT 1998

Begining of session

I. Flips between phases in ecological systems

  Oligotrophic/ eutrophic phase diagram

  Lake flips (after Scheffer)

  Implications of flips for indicator development


II. Self-organizing Holarchic Open (SOHO) Systems Model (Our understanding of flips etc. as summarized by the SOHO system model.)

  SOHO model

End of session

III. SOHO revisted

  SOHO model

  Societal system in context

  Holarchic structure

  The Biosphere as a Self-organizing Holarchic Open System


IV. Things future indicators need to do

  Deal with flips

  Deal with ecological societal systems as Self-organizing Holarchic Open Systems.

  The challenge for monitoring and indicators


V. Developing future indicators

  Elements of monitoring programme

  Indicator development process in context

  Closing Thoughts


For more discussion see:
Boyle, M., Kay. J., and Pond, B., 2001. Monitoring in Support of Policy: an Adaptive Ecosystem Approach, in Munn, T., (editor in chief), Vol.4 Encylopedia of Global Environmental Change, London, John Wiley and Son. pp.116-137.

Updated 17 October, 1998

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