Flips and SOHO systems and future indictors
James J. Kay
© COPYRIGHT 1998


Begining of session
I. Flips between phases in ecological systems
Oligotrophic/ eutrophic phase diagram
Lake flips (after Scheffer)
Implications of flips for indicator development
II. Self-organizing Holarchic Open (SOHO) Systems Model (Our understanding of flips etc. as summarized by the SOHO system model.)
SOHO model

End of session
III. SOHO revisted
SOHO model
Societal system in context
Holarchic structure
The Biosphere as a Self-organizing Holarchic Open System
IV. Things future indicators need to do
Deal with flips
Deal with ecological societal systems as Self-organizing Holarchic Open Systems.
The challenge for monitoring and indicators
V. Developing future indicators
Elements of monitoring programme
Indicator development process in context
Closing Thoughts
For more discussion see:
Boyle, M., Kay. J., and Pond, B., 2001. Monitoring in Support of Policy: an Adaptive Ecosystem Approach, in Munn, T., (editor in chief), Vol.4 Encylopedia of Global Environmental Change, London, John Wiley and Son. pp.116-137.

Updated 17 October, 1998
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